UK broadband lines to reach 25.1 million by end-2014 - study

News Broadband United Kingdom 25 MEI 2010
UK broadband lines to reach 25.1 million by end-2014 - study
The total number of broadband lines in the UK is expected to reach 25.1 million by end-2014, according to new research from Point Topic. This is an increase of almost one million on its earlier forecast. Although this increase is not massive, Point Topic believes it will help improve the business case for broadband, and particularly for investment in superfast broadband using next generation access. Point Topic has also increased its end-2010 forecast from 19.58 million to 19.79 million broadband lines. The actual total for end-2009 was 18.37 million lines, 80,000 higher than forecast. A major feature of the longer-term forecasts is the dramatic growth projected for superfast broadband, mainly based on FTTx. Contrary to much opinion, Point Topic is projecting a boom in FTTx similar to what happened with BT's DSL broadband services in the mid-2000's. Tim Johnson, Chief Analyst at Point Topic, said that it expects FTTx to echo the development of DSL in the UK. He added that customers with dial-up internet access converted to broadband in their millions in the boom years, and Point Topic expects superfast broadband to do the same around the middle of this coming decade. The number of DSL lines grew from 550,000 to 12.3 million between 2003 and 2007. Point Topic now expects that next-generation FTTx broadband will do something similar, with 12 million lines by end-2016. Most of these users will have migrated from DSL. Cable will also play a significant role in providing superfast broadband but is expected to show a lower growth-rate overall.

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